AAVEUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 124.97 and hit its target at 127.778 after 4.5 hours, closing at +2.25%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 16:57 |
| Entry | 124.97 |
| Stop-loss | 120.3 |
| Take-profit 1 | 127.778 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 129.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.00 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 127.778 |
| Realized P&L | +2.25% |
| Time open | 4.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish, 1h ADX 33.9 but slope negative (-6.0, fading), choppiness 46 (mid), ER-10 0.22/ER-30 0.23 (path netting little), Hurst 0.56 mild persistence, HMM volatile 1.0 — a violent +11.7% 24h bull impulse now stalling near highs (net -0.66% 4h, -1.58% 12h). 2. LEAN CHECK: long — HTF stack is fully bullish and OI up +10-12% 24h; the pullback is shallow and price sits -1.6% off the 5d/20d/90d high, so trend-aligned long is the side. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: full_bullish alignment across all four TFs plus aggregated OI +12% and top-trader pos ratio 1.45 (longs dominant) support continuation of the impulse toward the recent high. 4. PRE-MORTEM: extremely stretched — 4h RSI 80 (overbought), z-score +2.71, RV 98th pctile, ADX fading, OI momentum accelerating_down (-4.9% recent half) — a mean-reversion flush would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent consolidation/12h low structure at 120.30 (dist ~3.74%, within the 9.3% 7d range); stretch TP at 129.65 toward/above the 5d high (dist ~3.74%, R:R ~1.0, inside 4% clamp). 6. EXPECTATION: stretched-but-trending with fading ADX; modest edge only.
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