DOGEUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.093225 and hit its target at 0.09516 after 2.3 hours, closing at +2.08%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 17:57 |
| Entry | 0.093225 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09075 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.09516 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09645 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.30 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.09516 |
| Realized P&L | +2.08% |
| Time open | 2.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF bull-aligned on 15m/1h/4h with 4h ADX 58.8 and 1h ADX 24.4 (slope -4.7, fading), ER-10 0.004 / choppiness 38 (near-term path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.42 (mean-reverting), HMM volatile 100% — a powerful but deeply-extended uptrend (z +2.54, RV-24h 100th pctile, 4h RSI 75.5 overbought) that has stalled near-term. 2. LEAN CHECK: net-bull structural tape (+10.3%/24h, +2.1%/4h fresh) with top-trader pos ratio 4.79 (long-heavy) and taker 1.32 buys — the durable side is long; but I keep it modest given the fading 1h ADX, decelerating OI, and overbought stretch. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-alignment + flow — 15m/1h/4h all bull-aligned, taker 1.32 buying, top-trader positioning strongly long (4.79), most-recent 4h leg turning back up (+2.09%); track record here is long-biased with 62.7% wr. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the deeply-extended z +2.54 / 4h RSI overbought / mean-reverting Hurst means a rejection at the 5d high (-5.6% above) could cascade a sharp mean-reversion pullback. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.093225; stop 0.09075 below the recent 1h consolidation shelf (~2.66%, within the elevated realized range); take_profit_1 0.096450 (stretch ~3.46%, R:R ~1.3) targeting a push toward the 5d high, inside the 4% clamp and 1.5x stop distance. 6. EXPECTATION: extended trend that can grind higher but is prone to reversion, so a meaningful expire/reversion probability.
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