AAVEUSD long — 25 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 135.6823 and stopped out at 132.1 after 1.2 hours, closing at -2.64%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-25 02:28 |
| Entry | 135.6823 |
| Stop-loss | 132.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 138.5129 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 140.4 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.32 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 132.1 |
| Realized P&L | -2.64% |
| Time open | 1.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h EMA stacks bull_aligned (4h ADX 46, 1h ADX 24) but 5m/15m mixed → alignment 2/4, adx_1h_slope negative (-2.03, fading), choppiness 56.8 (mid), ER-10 0.036 / ER-30 0.10 (path netting nowhere), HMM calm 0.9996 — a bull structure that has stalled into chop, but net_move_4h +3.49% shows a fresh bounce off the lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG — HTF EMA stack is bull, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 1.82), taker 1h 1.126, and a +3.5% 4h impulse is turning momentum up despite the -2.76% 24h. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend alignment (1h+4h bull_aligned) reinforced by top-trader positioning (1.82) and a positive fresh 4h thrust — the bounce is trend-aligned. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI is bleeding hard (agg_oi -18.7%, oi_5m_z -0.94, decelerating) — a bounce on falling OI is a short-cover pop that fades; a break back below ~132 kills it. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 135.68, stop below the recent structure at 132.10 (~2.6% ≈ under 1x the 6.8% 24h range), take_profit_1 at 140.40 (~3.5%, R:R ~1.32, inside clamps) targeting the 5d high zone (-5.77% off = ~144, so 140.4 is a reachable intermediate). 6. EXPECTATION: bounce is real but on weak OI and choppy tape, so meaningful expire risk.
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