AAVEUSD long — 1 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 126.1644 and hit its target at 128.1958 after 1.5 hours, closing at +1.61%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-01 13:18 |
| Entry | 126.1644 |
| Stop-loss | 123.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 128.1958 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 129.55 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.09 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 128.1958 |
| Realized P&L | +1.61% |
| Time open | 1.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: alignment 2/4 (15m/4h bull, 1h/5m mixed), 1h ADX 24 rising (+1.59 slope) but ER-10 0.06 / ER-30 0.10 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 60.2 (range-bound), Hurst 0.33 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.9995 — bull-stacked HTF drifting in low-conviction chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG — +2.14% 24h, net_move +0.96% 4h, top-trader position ratio 1.94 (strong long tilt), price -2.32% below 5d high with room. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 4h/15m EMA bull-stacked, top-trader pos ratio 1.94 and account ratio 1.62 both firmly long, fear/greed 69 (greed), price holding well above 5d/20d lows; this asset's track record leans long-friendly in chop. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI is bleeding hard (agg -4.1%, oi_5m_z -2.50, momentum accelerating_down) and 1h taker ratio 0.67 (sellers) — a de-risking unwind that could roll price back under the 5d low. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent intraday shelf / near 5d-low structure at 123.05 (~2.47% risk, within rv); stretch target 129.55 (~2.68% reward, R:R ~1.08, inside 4% clamp) toward the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: chop with modest long lean and RV elevated — p_tp1 42, p_sl 37, p_expire 21.
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