AAVEUSD long — 5 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 134.0814 and hit its target at 136.4626 after 6.1 hours, closing at +1.78%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-05 18:31 |
| Entry | 134.0814 |
| Stop-loss | 131.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 136.4626 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 138.05 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.35 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 136.4626 |
| Realized P&L | +1.78% |
| Time open | 6.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h/5m EMA bull-stacked (mtf mixed only due to 15m), 1h ADX 20.3 rising (+0.64 slope), 4h ADX 32.8, choppiness 41.2 (edge of trending), ER-10 0.60 clean near-term but ER-30 0.13 / Hurst 0.41 (longer path mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.999 — a genuine bull impulse riding a bull-stacked HTF with AAVE's usual net-nowhere longer-window caveat. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG — +2.61% 24h, net_move +2.35% 4h / +2.78% 12h, price sitting just under 5d/20d/90d high (-1.46%). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI accelerating_up (oi 5m/15m z +2.83/+2.86, agg_oi +7.39% 24h) with taker 1.21 and top-trader pos ratio 2.22 long — flow + trend + positioning all lean long, and impulse pressing the 90d high is a breakout attempt. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 15m RSI 73 overbought + z-score +1.85 + rejection at the -1.46% 90d-high wall would stall this and mean-revert (the recurring AAVE fade pattern that produced the -2%+ losses). 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 134.08; stop below the recent breakout base at 131.15 (~2.19%, inside the ~4.6% avg daily range), stretch target 138.05 (~2.96%, ~1.35x stop distance, clearing the 90d high toward next resistance) — RR ~1.35. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought at resistance tempers upside but flow/trend confluence is real.
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