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DOGEUSD long — 5 Sep 2026 (stopped out)

This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.090874 and stopped out at 0.08815 after 18.5 hours, closing at -3.00%.

AssetDOGEUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-09-05 20:01
Entry0.090874
Stop-loss0.08815
Take-profit 10.093055
Take-profit 2 (stretch)0.094509
Reward:risk at entry1.33
Outcomestopped out
Close price0.08815
Realized P&L-3.00%
Time open18.5 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish, all TFs EMA bull_aligned, 1h ADX 40.6 slope +6.6 (strong trend firming), ER-10/30 ~0.40, choppiness 27.8 (trending), Hurst 0.45, HMM calm 99.97% — a clean bull-trend impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: decisive long lean — net +3.1%/4h, +5.8%/12h, +7.1%/24h with trend and flow aligned. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow+OI+positioning — OI +19%/24h with oi_momentum accelerating_up, oi 5m/15m z ~+2.5, top-trader pos ratio 3.58 (heavily long), agg OI +20% — leveraged longs stacking into a full-bull EMA stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RV at 99.5 pctile + rolling z +2.44 + fear/greed 73 (Greed) + taker 1h 0.93 (mild sell tilt) flags a stretched, exhaustion-prone move; a reject from the +12% 24h run invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 0.090874; stop below recent structure at 0.08815 (~3.0% risk, within ~0.5x of the huge RV range); stretch TP at 0.09455 (~4.0% clamp-respecting, ~1.35x risk) toward the 5d-high retest. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but stretched RV and mild taker sell tilt cap upside conviction.

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