AAVEUSD long — 6 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 136.61 and stopped out at 133.3 after 8.7 hours, closing at -2.42%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-06 05:46 |
| Entry | 136.61 |
| Stop-loss | 133.3 |
| Take-profit 1 | 139.154 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 140.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.28 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 133.3 |
| Realized P&L | -2.42% |
| Time open | 8.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h/15m EMA bull-stacked (mtf mixed at 2/4 only from 5m divergence), 1h ADX 30.6 / 4h ADX 36 strong trend but adx_1h_slope -1.13 fading, ER-10 0.15 / ER-30 0.23 / Hurst 0.40 flag AAVE's classic net-nowhere chop path, HMM calm 0.999 — bull-stacked HTF sitting near 5d/20d/90d high after a sharp 4h pullback. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG — trend-aligned with the dominant HTF bull stack and top-trader positioning, but momentum is short-term cooling. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is positioning/flow — top_trader_pos_ratio_1h 2.33 (heavy long) with 4h delta +0.098 building, agg_oi_24h +8.0% expanding into the up-move, funding modestly positive z ~0.9 (not extreme), reinforcing the bull-stacked HTF. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is z+2.20 vs 20d mean and RV at 96th pctile with adx_1h fading and net_move_4h -1.69% — a rejection at the 90d high (136.6, only -1.69% away) would confirm exhaustion and invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 136.61, stop below the recent 1h swing / structural invalidation at 133.30 (~2.4% ≈ within the ~5.4% 24h range), take_profit_1 stretch at 140.85 (~3.1%, R:R ~1.28, inside 4% clamp) toward a fresh high extension. 6. EXPECTATION: bull trend but fading momentum + extended z-score temper the odds.
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