ETHUSD long — 6 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,512.7 and stopped out at 2,468 after 8.8 hours, closing at -1.78%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-06 05:46 |
| Entry | 2,512.7 |
| Stop-loss | 2,468 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,545.9 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,568 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,468 |
| Realized P&L | -1.78% |
| Time open | 8.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish 4/4, EMA stack bull on 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 35.2 slope +6.4 (strengthening), ADX-20 22.7, ER-10 0.52/ER-30 0.43, choppiness 39 (edging into trend), Hurst 0.47, HMM calm 0.999 — a clean, firming HTF bull trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — net moves all positive (+0.32% 4h, +1.31% 12h, +2.56% 24h), OI accelerating_up, top-traders positioned long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + flow confluence — full_bullish MTF with strengthening ADX, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.41, 15m_z +2.43, agg_oi +5.28%), top_trader_pos_ratio 1.80 and rising (4h +0.037) all confirm fresh long positioning behind the trend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 70.4 (overbought) and last-hour taker ratio 0.835 (selling) plus z_score +1.65 and price -0.54% below 5d high signal near-term exhaustion risk — a rejection at the 5d high would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2512.65; stop below recent structure at 2468 (~1.78% ≈ 0.75x rv_24h, beyond the intraday support and last-hour sell wick); stretch TP at 2568 (~2.2% up, toward/through the 5d high, R:R ≈ 1.24). 6. EXPECTATION: trend + flow favor upside but overbought RSI + last-hour selling temper it.
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