AAVEUSD long — 7 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 132.1973 and hit its target at 135.1389 after 4.6 hours, closing at +2.23%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-07 07:40 |
| Entry | 132.1973 |
| Stop-loss | 128.65 |
| Take-profit 1 | 135.1389 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 137.1 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.38 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 135.1389 |
| Realized P&L | +2.23% |
| Time open | 4.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h EMA bull-stacked (4h ADX 37.4 strong, 1h ADX 15.6 weak) but 5m/15m mixed → mtf 0/4; ER-10 0.21 / ER-30 0.22 / Hurst 0.36 / choppiness 54.7 flag AAVE's classic net-nowhere mean-reverting chop, HMM calm 0.999 — bull HTF with soft near-term pullback. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG — HTF EMAs bull-stacked and top-traders lean heavily long, but near-term momentum negative; the trend-aligned side is up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: top_trader_pos_ratio_1h 2.34 (rising both fast +0.018 and 4h +0.077) plus 1h/4h bull EMA stack supports buying the pullback; 5m RSI 22.9 deeply oversold and price sits +4.7% off the 5d low, a spot where AAVE's mean-revert chop has repeatedly bounced (same-regime long track: 3 recent wins). 4. PRE-MORTEM: oi_5m_z_24h -2.29 + agg_oi_24h_delta -4.4% show OI leaving and net_move_4h -1.26%; a clean break below the 5d low (~126.1) with OI expansion would invalidate the bounce. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 132.20, stop 128.65 (below the recent swing/5d-low shelf, ~2.7% ≈ 0.5x rv range), target 137.10 stretch (~3.7%, RR ~1.38, inside 1.5x/4% clamps) toward the 1h EMA cluster / prior consolidation. 6. EXPECTATION: modest edge on trend-aligned pullback but chop caps follow-through — p_tp1 45 / p_sl 36 / p_expire 19.
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