AAVEUSD long — 7 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 135.6696 and stopped out at 132.35 after 6.7 hours, closing at -2.45%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| Entry | 135.6696 |
| Stop-loss | 132.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 138.2078 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 139.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.27 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 132.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.45% |
| Time open | 6.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bullish MTF (4/4 EMA bull-stacked 5m/15m/1h/4h), 4h ADX 37.8 strong but 1h ADX only 18.9 (slope +1.86 modestly rising), choppiness 52.8 mid-range, ER-10 0.17 / ER-30 0.03 / Hurst 0.37 flag AAVE's classic net-nowhere mean-reverting path, HMM calm 0.999 — bull-stacked HTF with weak near-term impetus. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG — every EMA TF bull-aligned and top-trader pos ratio 2.26 heavily long, but OI bleeding (-5.3% 24h, oi_z -0.9, decelerating) and price -1.9% on the day; a shallow trend-aligned lean, not a strong one. 3. THESIS: trend-alignment + strong top-trader positioning (pos ratio 2.26, account ratio 1.49) with a recent 4h bounce (net_move_4h +1.38%) off the 5d low area supports dip-buying into the bull stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI is falling and funding neutral-to-soft — this is a fading-participation trend; a break back below the recent swing invalidates. 5. LEVELS: mark 135.67; stop below recent structure at 132.35 (2.45% risk, ~within 1x 24h range given avg_move_24h 2.62% and rv high); stretch TP at 139.90 (3.12% / ~1.28x risk), a reachable level under the 5d high, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: bull-aligned but choppy AAVE with fading OI — modest edge, meaningful expire probability.
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