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AAVEUSD long — 11 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 130.0414 and stopped out at 126.85 after 1.9 hours, closing at -2.45%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-11 13:57 |
| Entry | 130.0414 |
| Stop-loss | 126.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 132.3866 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 133.95 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 126.85 |
| Realized P&L | -2.45% |
| Time open | 1.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf 0/4 mixed — 5m bull-aligned, 1h bear-aligned, 15m/4h mixed; 1h ADX 38.6 but slope fading (-2.3), ER-10 0.71 shows a clean recent up-leg while ER-30 0.24 / Hurst 0.46 / choppiness 33 flag AAVE's usual net-nowhere character; HMM calm 0.999 — a fresh bullish thrust inside a broadly choppy-to-bull tape. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG — net_move_4h +5.4% / 12h +5.6% / 24h +5.4% is a real momentum burst, +5.9% 24h change, price reclaimed toward 5d-high (-5.6% below). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow + momentum cluster — OI z-scores +5.3/+5.5 with oi_momentum accelerating_up and agg_oi +3.5% confirm fresh money chasing this up-leg, top-trader pos ratio 2.22 (rising +0.10 over 4h), taker ratio 1.18; the move is bought, not distributed. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought across 5m (78) / 15m (84) / 1h (74) — an exhaustion reversal that stalls the thrust and rolls back into the range would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 130.04; stop below the recent breakout base at 126.85 (~2.45% risk, within the ~5% daily range and rv_24h); stretch TP at 133.95 (~3.0% / ~1.23x risk), just under the 5d-high resistance and inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum real but overbought caps follow-through — p_tp1 46, p_sl 34, p_expire 20.
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