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ETHUSD long — 11 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,634 and stopped out at 2,578 after 1.9 hours, closing at -2.13%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-11 13:57 |
| Entry | 2,634 |
| Stop-loss | 2,578 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,675.4 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,703 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,578 |
| Realized P&L | -2.13% |
| Time open | 1.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 22.1 slope +4.4 (strengthening), ER-10 0.82 (clean one-way move), choppiness 23.9 (strongly trending), Hurst 0.37 — a firm, accelerating bull_trend with +8.2% on 24h. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — trend, flow, positioning all point up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + OI/flow confluence — full bull EMA stack, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +7.6, agg_oi +7.6%), top-traders net long (pos ratio 1.25), taker 1.08 — a fresh impulsive up-leg at 5d/20d/90d highs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 82-89 across all TFs + z-score +4.25 + iv_rv spread -46 screams stretched vertical; a fast mean-reversion snap below the 4h EMA would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2634; given extreme overbought and rv_24h ~99 annualized (atr_pct 1h ~1.1%), stop below intraday structure at 2578 (~2.1% risk, within realized range); stretch TP at 2703 (~2.6%, ~1.23x risk) into round-level continuation, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend favors continuation but overbought raises pullback odds and expiry risk given the parabolic move.
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