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AAVEUSD long — 18 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 136.4849 and hit its target at 139.734 after 3.2 hours, closing at +2.38%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-18 10:27 |
| Entry | 136.4849 |
| Stop-loss | 132.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 139.734 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 141.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 139.734 |
| Realized P&L | +2.38% |
| Time open | 3.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 48.7 rising (+3.4 slope), ADX-20 36.4, ER-10 0.65 clean / choppiness 34.6 (strongly trending), Hurst 0.53 — a firm one-way bull leg, HMM calm 0.999. 2. LEAN CHECK: firm LONG — net_move_4h +1.34% / 12h +6.33% / 24h +11.33%, pinned at 5d/20d/90d highs. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + flow confluence — full bullish EMA stack across all TFs with high rising ADX, top-trader position ratio 2.58 heavily long, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.03, agg_oi +11.2%), and funding only mildly positive (z ~1.0) so not yet crowded-blowoff. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 75 (1h) / 72 (4h) overbought and rolling z +3.08 with RV at 91st pctile — a mean-reversion snapback would invalidate; taker ratio 0.86 (sub-1) hints buying pressure cooling into the high. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 136.48; stop 132.10 below the last 1h consolidation shelf (~3.2% / ~1.25x atr, within realized range); stretch TP 141.90 (+3.97%, R:R ~1.24) toward continuation extension, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extended into overbought so meaningful pullback risk.
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