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DOGEUSD long — 18 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.085852 and hit its target at 0.087225 after 4 hours, closing at +1.60%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-18 09:57 |
| Entry | 0.085852 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08398 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.087225 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08814 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.087225 |
| Realized P&L | +1.60% |
| Time open | 4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m bull_aligned, 1h/4h mixed (alignment 2/4), 1h ADX 36.2 slope +6.5 (trend firming hard), ER-10 0.86 (very clean near-term) but ER-30 0.48, choppiness 25.1 (trending edge), Hurst 0.46, HMM calm 99.97% — a transitional tape with a fresh, clean, strengthening up-leg. 2. LEAN CHECK: solid long lean — fresh momentum up (+5.87% 24h, +1.92% 4h), price pinned at 5d high (+0.00%), OI accelerating_up hard, top-traders heavily long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — oi_15m_z +2.93, oi_5m_z +2.75, oi_momentum accelerating_up, agg OI +8.9%, taker ratio 1.34 with the last-hour buckets tilting buy — new money chasing a clean breakout to 5d highs, trend-aligned with the firming 1h ADX. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is stretched (15m 84, 1h 80.6) and this is DOGE's weakest track record (54.9% wr) — a rejection back below the breakout shelf would signal exhaustion and invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss at 0.083980 (below the reclaimed breakout shelf / ~2.2% risk, within 24h RV of ~46% annualized ≈ 2.15% typical 24h traversal); take_profit_1 at 0.088140 as the stretch (~2.66% up, ~1.2x the stop distance, inside clamps) toward the next round extension above the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: firm momentum but stretched RSI and weak asset base rate temper it.
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