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AAVEUSD long — 19 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 143.74 and hit its target at 146.806 after 2.5 hours, closing at +2.13%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-19 00:42 |
| Entry | 143.74 |
| Stop-loss | 139.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 146.806 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 148.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.31 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 146.806 |
| Realized P&L | +2.13% |
| Time open | 2.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 58.2 rising (+1.26 slope), ADX-20 47.4, ER-30 0.55 / choppiness 41.8, Hurst 0.55, HMM calm 0.999 — a firm one-way bull leg, strongest AAVE ADX in the recent set. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG — net_move_4h +2.61% / 12h +4.38% / 24h +11.38%, pinned at 5d/20d/90d highs, OI +10.9% 24h, agg OI +16.1%. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend+flow+positioning confluence — full bull stack with rising ADX, top-trader pos ratio 2.63 (heavily long), taker 1.18 buyers, price at fresh highs; AAVE's same-regime bull_trend track is 4/4 recent wins and 64% 30d WR. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought across every TF (5m 83, 1h 77, 4h 79) + rolling z +3.68 + OI momentum decelerating — extension risk; a sharp mean-reversion snap below the breakout level invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 143.74, stop below the recent breakout shelf at 139.85 (~2.7% risk, ~1x the 3.58% 24h traversal / atr context), stretch TP 148.85 (~3.6% ≈ 1.31x risk, inside clamps) at a round-extension level the leg can reach in 24h. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought/decelerating tempers it — p_tp1 47, p_sl 33, p_expire 20.
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