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SLVONUSD long — 19 Sep 2026 (expired)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 60.19 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 60.26 with a price move of +0.12%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-19 01:12 |
| Entry | 60.19 |
| Stop-loss | 59.42 |
| Take-profit 1 | 60.766 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 61.15 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 60.26 |
| Realized P&L | +0.12% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed (0/4) but 1h EMA bull_aligned with 1h ADX 31.3 (genuine trend) though slope -4.8 (fading); 5m bear, 15m/4h mixed; ER_10 0.02 (dead near-term), ER_30 0.23, choppiness 60.9 (edging range-bound), Hurst 0.53, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm tape that just ran up and is now stalling near its highs. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly bull-leaning — price z-score +1.51, only -1.28% from 5d high and +5.95% off the 5d low, OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +1.28, momentum accelerating_up), silver spot XAG +0.99% 24h, silver ETF proxy +3.37%, and this asset has a documented pattern of winning fresh bull thrusts. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow/OI cluster — OI accelerating_up with 24h OI +4.2% into a rising price alongside the underlying silver spot up ~1% confirms buyers are adding on strength; the 1h bull EMA stack aligns the HTF read. 4. PRE-MORTEM: net_move_4h is flat (+0.07%) and ER_10 0.02 shows near-term momentum has died — if price rolls back under the 20d mean the z-score +1.51 mean-reverts and this fails. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 60.19; stop below recent structure at 59.42 (~1.28% risk, ~0.8x the 1.58% 24h traversal / within rv range); stretch TP at 61.15 (~1.6% reward, R:R ~1.25) into the 5d-high region, reachable within 24h. 6. EXPECTATION: thin lean with fading momentum, so modest edge.
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