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AAVEUSD long — 22 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 144.05 and stopped out at 140.3 after 9.8 hours, closing at -2.60%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-22 01:23 |
| Entry | 144.05 |
| Stop-loss | 140.3 |
| Take-profit 1 | 146.54 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 148.2 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.11 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 140.3 |
| Realized P&L | -2.60% |
| Time open | 9.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h/15m EMA bull-aligned (alignment 2/4, mtf mixed), 4h ADX 38 / 1h ADX 31.3 but slope -2.47 fading, ER-10 0.09 / ER-30 0.17, choppiness 61.4 (range-bound), Hurst 0.59, HMM calm 0.999 — a mature bull structure now stalling into chop near the 5d/20d/90d high. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG — HTF EMA stack still bullish, price pinned -2.56% below 90d high, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.30), oi +5.6% 24h; the fade signals (ADX slope, ER collapse, latest taker 0.71) counsel restraint but not a short. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 4h RSI 63 with bull EMA stack across 15m/1h/4h and top_trader_pos_ratio 2.30 anchor the buyers' side; net_move_24h +5.09% shows the impulse. 4. PRE-MORTEM: latest taker ratio 0.71 and OI accelerating_down (oi_change_recent_half -1.82%) signal buyers exhausting — a rejection back under ~141 breaks the bull structure. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below recent structure at 140.3 (dist ~2.6%, ~0.55x rv/atr, sane vs 24h range); stretch TP at 148.2 (~2.9% up, R:R ~1.1, inside clamps) toward a retest of the 90d high. 6. EXPECTATION: elevated RV (96th pctile) and choppy path temper conviction.
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