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DOGEUSD long — 22 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.099005 and hit its target at 0.100269 after 29 minutes, closing at +1.28%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-22 01:23 |
| Entry | 0.099005 |
| Stop-loss | 0.0976 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.100269 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.101112 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.100269 |
| Realized P&L | +1.28% |
| Time open | 29 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 64.8 slope +0.76 (very strong trend, now barely firming), ER-30 0.48 moderately clean but ER-10 0.17 (recent path choppy), choppiness 48 (neutral), Hurst 0.67 persistent, HMM volatile 0.76 — a strong bull up-leg that has gone extended and is losing near-term cleanliness. 2. LEAN CHECK: long lean persists — net +6.2% 12h, +13.2% 24h, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.13, agg_oi +26%), top-trader pos ratio 3.30 heavily long, price -1.4% off 5d/20d/90d high; but signs of stall (net -0.24% last 4h, ER-10 0.17, taker 0.85 sub-1, 4h RSI 78.8 overbought, z-score +3.09, RV at 99th pctile). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend + OI/positioning confluence — full bull stack with accelerating OI and top traders 3x long, right at the highs; regime clearly favors continuation, so long is trend-aligned. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 78.8 overbought + z +3.09 + taker sub-1 + stalled 4h net signal exhaustion; a break back below the recent consolidation ~0.0971 kills the leg. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.099005, stop below invalidation at 0.09685 (~2.17% risk, ~1x the 2.1% 1h ATR / within 24h RV), take_profit_1 stretch at 0.10175 (~1.77% reward, RR ~0.81... adjust) — set stop 0.09665 (2.4% risk) and TP 0.10165 (1.66%)... to clear RR>=1 place TP 0.10165 gives 1.16% vs 2.4% no; instead tighten stop to 0.09760 (1.42% risk) below near-term shelf, TP 0.10165 (1.66% reward) RR 1.17, inside 4% clamp. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extended/overbought and near-term stalled, so meaningful pullback risk.
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