Home › Signals › October 2026 › AAVEUSD
AAVEUSD long — 13 Oct 2026 (expired)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 160.44 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 162.67 with a price move of +1.39%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-13 04:35 |
| Entry | 160.44 |
| Stop-loss | 155.9 |
| Take-profit 1 | 163.956 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 166.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.29 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 162.67 |
| Realized P&L | +1.39% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Bear trend but momentum conflicting — EMA bear_aligned on 15m/1h (5m/4h mixed), ADX_1h 44.4 but slope negative (fading), choppiness 32.8 (trending), ER-10 collapsed to 0.055 (path netting nowhere short-term), Hurst 0.44 (mild mean-reversion), HMM calm; net -5.9% 24h but +4.44% in last 4h (sharp bounce off lows). 2. LEAN CHECK: Two-sided tension — the 24h downtrend favors shorts, but a very fresh +4.44% 4h bounce, taker buy/sell 1.64 (last 3 buckets 1.69/1.90/1.64 all buy-heavy), top-trader pos ratio 2.13 heavily long, price -1.84 z below 20d mean and only +4.44% off the low. This is a washed-out bounce reclaim, so I lean long with modest conviction. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: Fresh reclaim momentum — sustained taker buying (3 straight hours >1.6), sharp +4.44% 4h rebound off a -1.84 z-score oversold extreme while funding is negative (agg_funding_z -1.10) and ADX is fading from a bear-trend climax; this is a counter-trend mean-reversion snapback the recent long signals in this chop regime have hit roughly 50/50 but with +avg pnl. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI is accelerating_down (oi_momentum accelerating_down, oi_5m_z -0.88) — if the bounce is just short-covering with no fresh longs, price rolls back under 158 and the bear trend resumes. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: Entry 160.44; stop below the reclaim pivot / recent swing at 155.9 (~2.8% risk, within ~1x the 6.2% daily range); stretch TP at 166.3 (~3.65% reward, R:R ~1.3, inside clamps) toward the 5d-high area and gap-fill. 6. EXPECTATION: counter-trend bounce in a fading bear trend — modest edge.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.