AAVEUSD short — 25 Jul 2026 (stopped out)
This short on AAVEUSD entered at 90.95 and stopped out at 93.12 after 22.5 hours, closing at -2.39%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-25 08:03 |
| Entry | 90.95 |
| Stop-loss | 93.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 89.09 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 87.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.44 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 93.12 |
| Realized P&L | -2.39% |
| Time open | 22.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m EMA bear-aligned, 1h mixed but RSI 26 oversold, 4h still bull-aligned; alignment 2/4 transitional, 1h ADX 41.7 rising (+3.1), Hurst 0.60 persistent — a sharp downdraft (-5% 24h) within a still-intact-but-cracking structure. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum, OI and taker flow all point down — a trend-aligned short lean, though 1h RSI is deeply oversold so the stretch is limited. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow — oi_momentum accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -1.37, agg_oi_24h -9%), taker_buy_sell 0.748 (sellers pressing), net_move_4h/12h/24h all negative, funding_z -2.2 unwinding as longs bleed; sellers in control below the 5d high (-7.7%). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 26 oversold + 4h EMA still bull-aligned means a reflex bounce off the lows could reclaim the intraday range and invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 90.95, stop above the recent consolidation shelf / reclaim zone at 93.10; TP at the next structural support toward the 5d-low extension at 87.85 (~R:R 1.44). 6. EXPECTATION: oversold cuts follow-through odds; give downside a modest edge with meaningful expire risk.
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