Home › Signals › September 2026 › AAVEUSD
AAVEUSD short — 15 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This short on AAVEUSD entered at 122.5427 and hit its target at 120.6271 after 5.2 hours, closing at +1.56%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-15 20:58 |
| Entry | 122.5427 |
| Stop-loss | 125.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 120.6271 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 119.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.14 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 120.6271 |
| Realized P&L | +1.56% |
| Time open | 5.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed (5m/15m/1h bear-aligned, 4h EMA-mixed), 1h ADX 17.8 with +4.09 rising slope, ADX-20 13.1, ER-10 0.40 / ER-30 0.10 / choppiness 48.9 / Hurst 0.29 — AAVE's classic net-nowhere mean-reverting chop, but with a fresh persistent downthrust; HMM calm 0.999. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest SHORT — near-term EMA stacks all bear-aligned, net_move_4h -1.54% / 12h -3.30% / 24h -6.28% persistent downdrift, OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -2.38) unwinding into the fall (longs bleeding), taker 1h 0.81 sell-heavy. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI + momentum alignment — accelerating_down OI with a 6.3% 24h drop and sub-1.0 taker ratio confirms sellers in control, and 5m/15m/1h EMA all bear-aligned makes short the trend-aligned side; this exact setup has won repeatedly on AAVE recently. 4. PRE-MORTEM: rolling z -1.28 and near 5d/20d lows (+1.94% off 20d low) means the asset is stretched oversold — a mean-reversion bounce (top-trader pos ratio 2.27 still heavily long, willing dip-buyers) invalidates the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 122.54; stop above the recent intraday reclaim/consolidation shelf at 125.35 (~2.3% risk, roughly 1x the 24h realized range); TP1 stretch at 119.35 (~2.6% reward, R:R ~1.14, inside clamps) targeting a continuation toward fresh lows. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold stretch tempers downside follow-through, so I weight expire and a bounce meaningfully.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.