Home › Signals › October 2026 › AAVEUSD
AAVEUSD short — 14 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on AAVEUSD entered at 153.64 and hit its target at 148.95 after 3.6 hours, closing at +3.05%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-14 22:50 |
| Entry | 153.64 |
| Stop-loss | 157.9 |
| Take-profit 1 | 150.826 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 148.95 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.10 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 148.95 |
| Realized P&L | +3.05% |
| Time open | 3.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Calm bear-leaning down-move — EMA bear_aligned on 5m/15m/1h (4h mixed), ADX_1h 21.3 rising (slope +1.32), choppiness 40.8 (edging toward trending), ER-10 0.49 / ER-30 0.30 (near-term semi-clean), Hurst 0.44 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.9999; price -4.4% 24h sitting on 5d/20d/90d lows, z -2.03. 2. LEAN CHECK: Short lean — fresh downside momentum (net -0.70% 4h / -4.17% 12h / -4.56% 24h), bear EMA stack, taker ratio 0.878 (sellers dominant), OI falling (-2.0% 24h, decelerating) — not two-sided enough to abstain. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: Trend-aligned short — bear EMA stack + fresh downside continuation at new lows with ADX turning up; this asset's recent track record shorts here won repeatedly (+1.61/+1.35/+1.37%). Counter-signal is top-trader pos ratio 1.82 long and washed-out z -2.03, which caps conviction. 4. PRE-MORTEM: A reclaim back above ~157 (prior support turned resistance) with buy-side taker flip would signal the oversold bounce the top-traders are positioned for, invalidating the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: Entry 153.64; stop 157.90 just beyond the reclaim zone (~2.8% ≈ 1x the 24h traverse of 2.83%); TP 148.95 ≈ 3.0% down, R:R ~1.1, a structural extension of the leg at fresh lows, reachable within 24h given 7d avg range 6.5%. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold at lows with top-traders long tempers downside continuation odds.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.