BNBUSD short — 24 Jul 2026 (expired)
This short on BNBUSD entered at 561.46 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 567.02 with a price move of -0.99%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | BNBUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-24 13:18 |
| Entry | 561.46 |
| Stop-loss | 570.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 555.724 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 551.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.06 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 567.02 |
| Realized P&L | -0.99% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bearish MTF (4/4 bear-aligned EMA stacks), 1h ADX 25 with positive slope (+2.4) and choppiness 35.6 (trending), Hurst 0.42 (mild mean-reversion) — a genuine, currently-accelerating bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: short is the clear side — every TF bear-aligned, net_move negative across 4h/12h/24h, and no reclaim of any level. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short confirmed by flow — last 1h taker ratio 0.37 (heavy sellers), OI accelerating_down (oi_15m_z -2.49, agg OI -0.99%) showing no fresh longs into the drop, and price sitting at 5d/20d lows with rolling z -2.10. 4. PRE-MORTEM: oversold RSI across all TFs (5m 25, 1h 29) plus top_trader_pos_ratio 1.66 (longs) and extreme sell taker could snap a mean-reversion bounce off the low; a reclaim of ~570 kills the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 570.5 above the reclaim/recent structure (~1.6% risk); take_profit_1 552.5 at a stretch toward continuation below the low (~1.6% reward, R:R ~1.05) — reachable given avg 24h traversal ~0.79% but recent momentum is stronger and rv supports it. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold into a low tempers the down-continuation, keeping meaningful bounce/expire odds.
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