BTCUSD long — 4 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on BTCUSD entered at 64,053.3 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 64,359 with a price move of +0.48%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | BTCUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-04 14:52 |
| Entry | 64,053.3 |
| Stop-loss | 63,090 |
| Take-profit 1 | 64,903.3 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 65,470 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.47 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 64,359 |
| Realized P&L | +0.48% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4, 5m/15m bull_aligned but 1h/4h EMA mixed, ADX_1h 21.6 rising slightly (slope +0.86) yet adx_20 17.6 chop-grade, Hurst 0.45 mean-reverting, ER_10 collapsed to 0.03 and choppiness 62 — a low-efficiency transitional/chop tape with a mild upward lean on lower TFs. 2. LEAN CHECK: not two-sided enough for no_trade — lower-TF EMAs bull-aligned, net_move_4h +0.48% fresh, top-trader position ratio 1.55 (long-tilted, +0.033 over 4h), taker 1.03 mildly buy — evidence leans LONG modestly. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is positioning/flow — top traders positioned long (1.48 acct / 1.55 pos ratio, building) alongside fresh 4h up-impulse and bull-aligned 5m/15m stacks, with funding benign (z +0.17) so no crowded-long overhang. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI is decelerating (oi_change_recent_half -0.23%, oi 24h -0.5%) and Fear&Greed 25 extreme fear — a rollover below the 5d-high rejection (-1.22%) with ER near zero says the impulse fizzles into chop and stalls. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 64,053; invalidation below the recent swing / 20d-low structure — stop at 63,090 (~1.5% below, ~0.55x rv_24h realized range, structural); stretch TP at 65,470 (~2.21% up, reward ~1.47x risk, just under the 5d-high cluster) — inside 1.5x and 4% clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: chop tape with a thin lean, so meaningful expire probability.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.