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BTCUSD long — 11 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on BTCUSD entered at 79,111.9 and stopped out at 78,050 after 1.7 hours, closing at -1.34%.
| Asset | BTCUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-11 14:12 |
| Entry | 79,111.9 |
| Stop-loss | 78,050 |
| Take-profit 1 | 80,004.8 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 80,600 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.40 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 78,050 |
| Realized P&L | -1.34% |
| Time open | 1.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 0/4 (5m bull-EMA, 15m mixed, 1h bear-aligned but RSI 71 overbought, 4h mixed), 1h ADX 34.9 slope +0.81 (trend firming), choppiness 29.9 (strongly trending), ER_10 0.66 (clean near-term push) vs ER_30 0.15, Hurst 0.50, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a fresh up-impulse regime with strong near-term directional energy. 2. LEAN CHECK: leans LONG — net +2.80%/4h, +3.00%/12h, +2.25%/24h fresh momentum, OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +2.68, oi_5m_z +0.68), top-trader position ratio 2.12 heavily long, taker 1.16. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI/flow cluster is strongest — accelerating_up OI with a strong 4h thrust and top-traders positioned 2.1x long confirms real buying into the move; RSI is overbought but ER_10 0.66 + choppiness sub-30 says the trend is clean, not exhausted, and price is only -1.48% under 5d high with room to run. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 71+ across 5m/15m/1h with agg_oi_24h_delta -0.55 (aggregated OI actually bled 24h) — a rejection back below ~78,500 flags exhaustion and invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 79,111.92; stop_loss 78,050 below the recent consolidation/impulse base (~1.34% risk, within ~0.5-1.0x rv), take_profit_1 80,600 at the 5d-high retest zone (~1.88% reward, R:R ~1.4). 6. EXPECTATION: fresh momentum favors continuation but overbought + OI-bleed caps it.
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