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DOGEUSD long — 11 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.088103 and stopped out at 0.08588 after 1.9 hours, closing at -2.52%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-11 13:57 |
| Entry | 0.088103 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08588 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.089781 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0909 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08588 |
| Realized P&L | -2.52% |
| Time open | 1.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h ADX 46.7 (strong trend) but slope -4.3 fading; 1h EMA bear_aligned yet 5m bull_aligned and 15m/4h mixed → mtf 0/4; ER-10 0.67 (clean recent) vs ER-30 0.18 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 33.7 (trending label), Hurst 0.49, HMM calm 99.97% — a sharp near-term up-thrust (net_4h +4.4%) inside a broader bear-labeled 1h structure. 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided but modest long lean — the freshest momentum is up (net_4h +4.4%, 5m EMA bull, RSI 80 overbought), OI accelerating_up with top-trader pos ratio 3.82 (heavily long) and funding still deeply negative (agg_z -2.19) leaving room for a squeeze. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: momentum + positioning cluster — a strong +4.4% 4h impulse on accelerating_up OI with agg funding z -2.19 (shorts underwater / funding not yet crowded long) supports continuation/squeeze higher; trend-aligned to the immediate 4h/5m up-thrust though counter to the 1h bear EMA. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is 80/79 across 5m/15m (extreme overbought) and this asset's own history shows repeated shorts winning off exactly this "up-thrust inside stalling bull" setup — a rejection back below the impulse origin invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.088103; stop below the impulse structure at 0.08588 (~2.52% risk, within ~0.5-1.5x of rv/atr on a 66% RV asset); stretch TP at 0.09090 (~3.18% ≈ 1.26x risk), a reachable level toward the 5d high (-4.4% away) within 24h given avg 24h traversal 3.3%. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought RSI and this asset's fade-prone track record cap upside odds; p_tp1 41 / p_sl 40 / p_expire 19.
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