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BTCUSD long — 14 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on BTCUSD entered at 78,198.4 and hit its target at 78,769.4 after 2.4 hours, closing at +0.73%.
| Asset | BTCUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-14 13:54 |
| Entry | 78,198.4 |
| Stop-loss | 77,480 |
| Take-profit 1 | 78,769.4 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 79,150 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.32 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 78,769.4 |
| Realized P&L | +0.73% |
| Time open | 2.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bull-EMA, 1h/4h mixed), 1h ADX 20.6 slope +1.7 (mild trend firming), choppiness 44, ER_30 0.21, Hurst 0.28 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a transitional, low-vol tape with a modest fresh up-impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: leans LONG modestly — net +1.74%/24h and +1.37%/12h fresh positive momentum, lower-TF EMA stacks bull-aligned, price +1.78% on the day. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — agg_OI +1.8% with Binance OI momentum accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.34) and top-trader position ratio 2.20 (heavily long), supporting a continuation grind toward the 5d high just -1.34% overhead. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker 1h 0.86 (sell-tilted last hour) and Hurst 0.28 mean-reverting warn this is a fade-prone push; a rejection back below 77,600 invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 77,480 sits below recent intraday support and near the 12h base; entry 78,198; take_profit_1 79,150 targets the 5d high zone (-1.34% overhead ~79,250), giving ~950 reward vs ~720 risk (R:R ~1.3), inside clamps and reachable given rv_24h ~30% and avg_move_24h 0.78%. 6. EXPECTATION: modest single-cluster edge in mean-reverting tape.
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