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BTCUSD long — 21 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on BTCUSD entered at 85,879.2 and hit its target at 87,139.7 after 5.1 hours, closing at +1.47%.
| Asset | BTCUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-21 15:23 |
| Entry | 85,879.2 |
| Stop-loss | 84,150 |
| Take-profit 1 | 87,139.7 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 87,980 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.21 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 87,139.7 |
| Realized P&L | +1.47% |
| Time open | 5.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull-aligned EMA), 1h ADX 47.3 slope +8.6 (strong trend strengthening), choppiness 27.7 (<38 strongly trending), ER_10 0.91 (very clean one-way), Hurst 0.57 (persistent), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a powerful, accelerating bull impulse pressing right at its 5d/20d/90d high after +6.3% in 24h. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly leans LONG — trend, structure and OI all point up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow + positioning confluence — OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.03, agg OI +9.5% 24h), top-trader pos ratio 2.19 heavily long, funding building (z +1.20) but not extreme; fresh 90d-high breakout with clean efficiency, and prior same-regime longs won repeatedly. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h/4h RSI 85 overbought + rolling_z +3.1 + RV pctile 92% signal exhaustion — a sharp pullback that breaks the 15m EMA stack invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below near-term intraday support at 84,150 (~2.0% risk, ~1x the 24h realized range); stretch TP at 87,980 (~2.4% up, ~1.2x stop distance) at prior extension into blue sky, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend favors continuation but overbought/overextended caps upside odds within 24h.
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