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DOGEUSD long — 21 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.09743 and stopped out at 0.09578 after 13 minutes, closing at -1.69%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-21 15:08 |
| Entry | 0.09743 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09578 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.098702 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09955 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.28 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09578 |
| Realized P&L | -1.69% |
| Time open | 13 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 49.7 slope +7.38 (very strong trend firming hard), ER-10 0.95 (extremely clean one-way), choppiness 29 (strongly trending), Hurst 0.58 persistent, HMM calm 99.97% — a cleanly bull-stacked, accelerating up-leg. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — net +4.38% 4h, +10.11% 12h, +13.46% 24h momentum all strongly positive. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow confluence — OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +3.49, oi_15m_z +3.01, agg_oi +16.8%) with taker 1.11 and top-trader pos ratio 3.57 rising (+0.32 over 4h), funding still only mildly positive (z 0.87) so not blow-off — real new long money confirming the trend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is extreme across all TFs (1h 86, 4h 80) and rolling z +3.91 / at 5d-20d-90d highs — a stretched tape prone to a sharp mean-revert pullback that hits a stop before continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.09743; stop 0.09578 below the recent breakout shelf (~1.7% risk, within the ~2-3% 24h traversal given atr_pct_1h 1.58 and elevated RV); take_profit_1 0.09955 stretch (~2.2% up, R:R ~1.28) at next round extension, reachable given +4.38% 4h momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought/stretched raises pullback risk — p_tp1 50, p_sl 33, p_expire 17.
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