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BTCUSD long — 21 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This long on BTCUSD entered at 83,891 and hit its target at 84,508.4 after 43 minutes, closing at +0.74%.
| Asset | BTCUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-21 14:09 |
| Entry | 83,891 |
| Stop-loss | 83,140 |
| Take-profit 1 | 84,508.4 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 84,920 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.37 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 84,508.4 |
| Realized P&L | +0.74% |
| Time open | 43 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/1h all bull EMA-aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 39.6 slope +4.8 (genuine, firming uptrend), 4h ADX 26.4, choppiness 49.6, ER_10 0.76 (clean recent push), Hurst 0.37 mean-reverting on the longer path, HMM calm — a firming 1h bull-trend pressing against 5d/20d/90d highs. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG lean — price net +0.64/+1.36/+0.78% across 4h/12h/24h, sitting exactly at the 5d/20d/90d high (+0.000 distance), OI accelerating_up (oi_z +1.8/+1.9, oi_change +2.2%), taker 1.22 buy-skew. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow confluence — a fresh breakout to the top of the range with accelerating OI and positive funding momentum confirms longs are driving price higher; top-trader position ratio 1.86 leans long too. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 73 overbought + rolling z +2.12 + Hurst 0.37 mean-reverting warn of exhaustion; a rejection back under the breakout pivot (~83,200) invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the breakout pivot at 83,140 (~0.9% risk, inside 24h range given avg_daily_range 2.2%); stretch TP at 84,920 (~1.23% reward, R:R ~1.35, a round structural extension above the fresh high) within clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: trend firming but overbought at highs with a soft total-mcap tape tempers upside; p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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