BTCUSD short — 8 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on BTCUSD entered at 77,860.6 and stopped out at 79,050 after 14.9 hours, closing at -1.53%.
| Asset | BTCUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-08 13:48 |
| Entry | 77,860.6 |
| Stop-loss | 79,050 |
| Take-profit 1 | 76,969.2 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 76,375 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 79,050 |
| Realized P&L | -1.53% |
| Time open | 14.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bear-EMA, 1h mixed, 4h still bull-EMA), 1h ADX 33 slope +1.4 firming, choppiness 41.6 (mild-trend), ER_10 0.50 / ER_30 0.29, Hurst 0.50, HMM calm — a transitional structure with a firming downside impulse eroding the 4h bull frame. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term flow leans DOWN — net -1.13%/4h, -1.97%/12h, -1.86%/24h fresh negative momentum, taker 0.91 (sellers), agg_OI -0.52% shedding on the drop, price at 5d/20d/90d low. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — fresh 24h downside impulse with rising 1h ADX, price freshly printing new 5d lows (dist_5d_low +0.00), aggregate OI bleeding as sellers press; the 4h bull EMA is fading and this asset's recent short calls all won. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is deeply oversold (5m 26, 15m 32, 1h 30) and top-traders are heavily long (pos ratio 2.13) — a reclaim of ~78,600 would signal an oversold bounce and invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 77,860; stop above the 4h reclaim zone at 79,050 (~1.53% risk, within the ~2.8% daily range); stretch target 76,375 down toward the next support, R:R ~1.25. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum-aligned short but oversold RSI caps follow-through.
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