HYPEUSD short — 8 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 82.2835 and stopped out at 84.15 after 2.1 hours, closing at -2.27%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-08 13:48 |
| Entry | 82.2835 |
| Stop-loss | 84.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 80.9434 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 80.05 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.20 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 84.15 |
| Realized P&L | -2.27% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 2/4 mixed (5m/15m bear, 1h mixed, 4h bull), 1h ADX 41.7 slope +4.97 (genuine trend strengthening), ER-10 0.49/ER-30 0.32/choppiness 35.9 (trending), Hurst 0.50, HMM calm 0.999 — a strengthening intraday down-impulse after a -5.95% day. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short-side lean — net_4h -2.43%, net_12h -3.65%, net_24h -5.91%, OI bleeding into the drop. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — oi_change_24h -9.37%, agg_oi -8.9%, oi_5m_z -1.34/15m_z -1.58, oi_momentum decelerating, taker 0.89 (sellers), and price sitting at fresh 5d/20d/90d low (-7.99% from high, +0.00% from 5d low); this trend-aligns with the strengthening 1h ADX down-move — prior analysts twice shorted this exact bleeding-OI setup and won. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 15m/1h RSI deeply oversold (27.7/28.2) plus top-trader pos ratio 1.97 rising — a bounce reclaim above ~84 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 82.28, stop above the reclaim/prior support-turned-resistance at 84.15 (~2.27% risk, within rv range), target the stretch down to 80.05 (~2.71% / ~1.19x risk) at the next structural level, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold bounce risk keeps p_expire meaningful.
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