DOGEUSD long — 2 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.070548 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 0.0698 with a price move of -1.06%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-02 05:30 |
| Entry | 0.070548 |
| Stop-loss | 0.06925 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.071716 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.072495 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 0.0698 |
| Realized P&L | -1.06% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (0/4 alignment) with 1h/4h EMA bear_aligned but 5m bull_aligned and 15m/5m RSI overbought (~72); 1h ADX 20 fading (slope -0.64), Hurst 0.42 mildly mean-reverting, HMM calm — a stalling bear structure being contested by a fresh short-TF up-thrust. 2. LEAN CHECK: net_move +1.18%/4h with taker ratio 1.32 (buyers dominant), OI accelerating up 24h, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.92), funding deeply negative (agg_z -2.58) — a short squeeze / mean-revert-up lean into the higher-TF bear stack; the near-term momentum favors long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is the deeply negative funding (agg_z -2.58, funding_z -2.19) with fresh buy-side taker flow (1.32) and rising OI on a +1.18% 4h push — shorts are underwater and covering, and price sits just -1.05% under the 5d high (breakout attempt); this is a counter-trend long that has short-TF EMA reclaim (5m bull_aligned). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI at 72 (overbought) means this thrust can exhaust and roll back into the dominant 1h/4h bear stack, failing at the 5d high. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.070548; stop below the recent consolidation floor / z-score mean at 0.069250 (~1.84% risk, beyond the intraday base); TP1 stretch at 0.073050 targeting a push through the 5d high (~3.5% reward, R:R ~1.9) reachable given avg 24h traversal ~1.6% and p90 range 5.1%. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought short-TF and hostile higher-TF trend cap the odds; p_tp1 38, p_sl 40, p_expire 22.
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