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DOGEUSD long — 19 Aug 2026 (stopped out)

This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.076145 and stopped out at 0.07475 after 1.1 hours, closing at -1.83%.

AssetDOGEUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-08-19 21:27
Entry0.076145
Stop-loss0.07478
Take-profit 10.077078
Take-profit 2 (stretch)0.0777
Reward:risk at entry1.14
Outcomestopped out
Close price0.07475
Realized P&L-1.83%
Time open1.1 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF 5m/15m/1h bull-aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 43 with +7.9 slope, choppiness 26 and ER-10 0.87 (clean strong uptrend), HMM calm — a genuine strong upside impulse but deeply overbought. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly long tape — sitting AT the 5d/20d/90d high (+0.000), net +5.2%/4h, +8.6%/12h, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.69), top-trader pos ratio 3.32, taker 1.39 — momentum is one-way up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow confluence — OI accelerating into new highs with top-traders 3.3x long and taker buys dominant is a live breakout, and this asset's track record shows these fresh-high momentum longs winning (three cited wins). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 88 and rolling z +6.77 are extreme extension — a sharp mean-reversion flush back through 0.0748 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the near intraday shelf at 0.07478 (~1.8% risk, within ~1x of the elevated rv/atr on a fast-moving high-vol tape); stretch target 0.07770 (~1.25x risk, ~2.0% above, reachable given avg_move_24h and current momentum, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but exhaustion risk after +8% day; p_tp1 44, p_sl 33, p_expire 23.

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