DOGEUSD long — 19 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.073466 and stopped out at 0.07204 after 2.1 hours, closing at -1.94%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-19 15:27 |
| Entry | 0.073466 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07205 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.07474 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07559 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07204 |
| Realized P&L | -1.94% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 5m/15m/1h bull-aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 26.5 with strong +10.1 slope, ER-10 0.83 and choppiness 20.2 (strongly trending), HMM calm — a genuine fresh upside breakout out of prior low-vol chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly long — sitting AT the 5d/20d/90d high (+0.000), net +4.5%/4h, OI accelerating_up, this is a fresh impulsive breakout. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is structure+flow — price is printing fresh 90d highs with OI 5m/15m z-scores of +4.9/+5.2 (accelerating_up) and top-trader position ratio 3.1 (heavily long), a trend-aligned breakout with real new money behind it. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is extremely overbought across all TFs (5m 88, 15m 94, 1h 85) and rolling z_20d +4.8 — a sharp mean-reversion snap-back would invalidate; taker ratio 0.90 (mild sell pressure) and top-trader ratio deltas negative are the early warning. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry at mark 0.073466; stop below the breakout shelf at 0.07205 (~1.93% risk, within the ~2.25% 7d range given elevated RV); stretch TP at 0.07535 (~1.20% reward, ~0.62x risk — honest reachable level given avg 4h move only 0.44% but momentum extended) — R:R ~0.62 is too low, widen TP to 0.07615 for R:R ~1.05, inside the 4% clamp and reachable given strong momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: extended-but-strong breakout; momentum favors continuation but overbought risk caps it.
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