ETHUSD long — 19 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,075 and hit its target at 2,104.7 after 1 minutes, closing at +1.43%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-19 15:27 |
| Entry | 2,075 |
| Stop-loss | 2,038.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,104.7 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,124.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.36 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,104.7 |
| Realized P&L | +1.43% |
| Time open | 1 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish (4/4 EMA stacks), ADX_1h 43.4 slope +9.6 (strong trend strengthening hard), choppiness 14.1 and ER-10 0.90 (extremely clean one-way tape), HMM calm — but Hurst 0.14 (strongly mean-reverting), rolling z +9.4 and RV at 100th pctile: a violent, extremely extended bull impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — trend, momentum, OI all point up; RSI 90+ across all TFs screams caution but every trend-following prior on this asset in exactly this setup won. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — OI accelerating_up (5m z +5.3, 15m z +5.8), taker 1h 1.38, top-trader pos ratio 1.34, agg OI +7.8%, +8.3% 24h with pristine efficiency; freshly at 5d/20d/90d highs on genuine buying pressure. 4. PRE-MORTEM: rolling z +9.4 and RSI ~92 are blow-off extremes — a sharp mean-reversion snap below the impulse origin invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2074.98; stop 2038.50 below the fast-EMA/recent-consolidation shelf (~1.76% risk, roughly 0.6x the 24h RV range, tight given the vertical move); stretch TP 2124.50 (~2.39% / ~1.36x risk) at the next round-figure extension, inside clamps and reachable given atr_1h ~1.05% and the momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought extension raises snap-back odds — p_tp1 46, p_sl 34, p_expire 20.
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