DOGEUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.091368 and hit its target at 0.093561 after 23 minutes, closing at +2.40%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| Entry | 0.091368 |
| Stop-loss | 0.0879 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.093561 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.095023 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.093561 |
| Realized P&L | +2.40% |
| Time open | 23 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 44.9 with +1.65 slope (strong, still-strengthening trend), ER-10 0.84 / choppiness 41.7 (clean short-horizon), Hurst 0.46, HMM calm 98.5% — powerful uptrend but deeply extended (z +3.98, RV-24h 90.8th pctile, 4h RSI 92.9, all TFs overbought). 2. LEAN CHECK: unambiguously long tape — net +8.2%/4h, +13.9%/24h, sitting AT 5d/20d/90d high (+0.000), OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +5.04), agg OI +11.4%/24h, top-trader pos ratio 3.56 rising. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: fresh momentum breakout with confirming OI expansion + top-trader long conviction + trend alignment — the same setup that has won repeatedly on this asset this week (5 recent bull_trend calls, 4 wins). 4. PRE-MORTEM: extreme extension (z +3.98, 4h RSI 92.9, RV 90th pctile) means a sharp mean-reversion flush could hit stop before continuation; the two prior losses in this playbook came from buying vertical extension. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.091368, stop below the recent 4h impulse base / breakout-retest zone at 0.08790 (~3.8% risk, near the 4h atr 2.4% × ~1.6 given elevated RV — inside acceptable width for 129% RV); take_profit_1 stretch at 0.09585 (~4.9% reward would clamp; place at 0.09520 for ~3.8% reward, R:R ~1.0, a structural extension level reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 2.6% and current momentum). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but extreme extension raises reversal odds — p_tp1 48, p_sl 34, p_expire 18.
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