ETHUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,479.8 and hit its target at 2,513.8 after 19 minutes, closing at +1.37%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 21:35 |
| Entry | 2,479.8 |
| Stop-loss | 2,433.9 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,513.8 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,536.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,513.8 |
| Realized P&L | +1.37% |
| Time open | 19 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish (4/4 EMA stacks), ADX_1h a towering 56.5 but slope -0.46 (extremely strong trend just fading from peak), ER-10 0.83 clean/ER-30 0.35, choppiness 50.8 (mid), Hurst 0.64 trending, HMM calm high-conf — a powerful +6.9% 24h bull impulse at extreme extension. 2. LEAN CHECK: long lean holds — trend fully aligned, OI building (agg +11.1%, oi_5m_z +2.33) alongside a rising price = fresh money confirming the up-leg, taker 1h 1.20 buy-tilted, top-trader pos ratio 1.73 heavily long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow cluster — full MTF bull stack with genuine rising OI and buy-side taker flow makes the trend-aligned long the honest side. 4. PRE-MORTEM: extreme extension (rolling z +2.58, RV 24h 87th pctile, RSI 74-96 across TFs, 4h RSI 95.8, ADX slope now negative, funding_z 1.85/agg 2.04 crowded_long) — a sharp mean-reversion snap-back could flush late longs before any TP. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent intraday shelf at 2434 (~1.85% away, inside 24h ATR range and matching the -1.85% stops seen this session); stretch TP at 2536 (~2.27% up), R:R ~1.23, a reachable structural push given the +2.34% 4h momentum still running. 6. EXPECTATION: extension + crowded funding caps upside continuation odds; honest split with meaningful expire.
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