DOGEUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.092219 and stopped out at 0.09005 after 50 minutes, closing at -2.35%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 09:12 |
| Entry | 0.092219 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09005 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.093828 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0949 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09005 |
| Realized P&L | -2.35% |
| Time open | 50 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m mixed, 15m/1h/4h bull_aligned), 1h ADX 39.2 but slope -9.2 (fading hard), ER-10 0.027 / choppiness 43.8 (path netting nowhere near-term), Hurst 0.43, HMM volatile 100% — a strong uptrend that has stalled and is deeply extended (z +2.76, RV-24h 98.5th pctile, 4h RSI 78.9 overbought). 2. LEAN CHECK: net-bull structural tape (+9.0%/24h) but momentum is exhausting — net only +0.28%/4h, +0.36%/12h (stalled flat), taker ratio dropped to 0.746 (sellers hitting bids last hour), OI momentum accelerating_down with -2.2% recent-half unwind; still a long lean by trend/positioning but a weak one. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 15m/1h/4h EMA stacks bull, top-trader pos ratio 4.76 and 4h chg +0.54 (smart money adding longs), 24h OI +7.2% and funding positive z +0.90 confirm live long interest; ride the higher-TF trend but respect the stall. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the flat 4h/12h net move + collapsing 1h taker ratio (0.746) + adx slope -9.2 signal momentum is dead; a break below the recent consolidation floor voids the long. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.092219; stop below near-term structure at 0.090050 (~2.35% risk, well within 3.4% avg 24h traversal and ~1x realized range); TP stretch 0.094900 (~2.9% reward, R:R ~1.24, inside clamps) at prior intraday resistance. 6. EXPECTATION: extended and stalling tempers upside — p_tp1 41, p_sl 37, p_expire 22.
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