HYPEUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 77.5447 and stopped out at 75.28 after 1.2 hours, closing at -2.92%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 09:12 |
| Entry | 77.5447 |
| Stop-loss | 75.28 |
| Take-profit 1 | 78.9159 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 79.83 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.01 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 75.28 |
| Realized P&L | -2.92% |
| Time open | 1.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 but higher-TFs bull_aligned (15m/1h/4h all bull), 1h ADX 28.7 slope -2.3 (fading), 4h ADX 62.8 RSI 66.5 (strong but toppy), choppiness 43.4 (trending edge), ER-10 0.15/ER-30 0.15 (noisy path netting little), Hurst 0.48, HMM volatile conf 1.0 — an extended bull trend at its 5d/20d/90d high (-5.87%) after +4.66% day, rolling z +1.95, rv_24h 86th pctile. 2. LEAN CHECK: trend and positioning both lean long (top-trader pos ratio 1.95, OI accelerating_up +13.9%), but recent 4h net move -2.71% and fading 1h ADX temper conviction — net long lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI is accelerating up (+8.8% recent half, oi_15m_z +0.97, momentum accelerating_up) with top traders heavily long (pos 1.95, account 1.89) and full HTF bull EMA stack — fresh money pushing the trend higher. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the -2.71% 4h pullback deepening below ~76 with agg funding z +2.07 (crowded long) unwinding would flip this to a long-liquidation cascade. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent 4h swing/consolidation floor at 75.28 (~2.9% risk, ~0.6x the 4.75% 24h traversal); stretch target at 79.83 (~2.95% reward, R:R ~1.0x) into the 5d-high retest zone, reachable within 24h given avg 24h move 4.75%. 6. EXPECTATION: crowded funding + fading ADX + pullback cap upside odds; p_tp1 42, p_sl 37, p_expire 21.
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