DOGEUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.096226 and hit its target at 0.0992 after 1.3 hours, closing at +3.09%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 03:20 |
| Entry | 0.096226 |
| Stop-loss | 0.0934 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.09801 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0992 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.0992 |
| Realized P&L | +3.09% |
| Time open | 1.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 53.4 with +3.5 slope (very strong, still-strengthening trend), ER-10 0.66 / choppiness 32.3 (clean, trending), Hurst 0.43, HMM volatile 100% — powerful uptrend but deeply extended (z +3.98, RV-24h 100th pctile, 4h RSI 94.6, all TFs overbought, at 5d/20d/90d high +0.000). 2. LEAN CHECK: unambiguously long tape — net +5.0%/4h, +14.8%/12h, +17.7%/24h, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.46), top-trader pos ratio 4.29 leaning heavily long; clear bull lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow + positioning all confirm long — full MTF stack, accelerating OI with rising price (real buying not squeeze), and top-traders piled long 4.29x; this exact setup has produced repeat wins on DOGE. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 94.6 with RV at 100th pctile and z +3.98 screams exhaustion — a sharp mean-reversion pullback off the vertical high would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.096226; stop below the recent impulse breakout / prior consolidation at 0.09340 (~2.9% risk, within the elevated realized range given 24h ATR ~3%); stretch target 0.09920 (~3.1% up, ~1.06x risk, inside 4% clamp) at fresh extension of the trend. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend favors continuation but extreme extension raises reversal/expire odds.
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