DOGEUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.093027 and stopped out at 0.09055 after 2.5 hours, closing at -2.66%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 06:35 |
| Entry | 0.093027 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09055 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.094871 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0961 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09055 |
| Realized P&L | -2.66% |
| Time open | 2.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m mixed, 15m/1h/4h bull_aligned), 1h ADX 48.4 but slope -5.2 (fading), ER-10 0.22 / choppiness 41.2 (path noisier), Hurst 0.44, HMM volatile 100% — a strong but now-decelerating uptrend that is deeply extended (z +3.09, RV-24h 100th pctile, 4h RSI 82 overbought). 2. LEAN CHECK: still net-bull tape (+11.7%/24h, +10.2%/12h, OI accelerating_up +10.3%, top-trader pos ratio 4.60), but the freshest 4h net move is NEGATIVE (-0.83%) and 1h taker ratio 0.82 (sellers) — a fatigue signal at the highs; lean stays modestly long per trend discipline but confidence tempered. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 15m/1h/4h EMA stacks all bullish, OI momentum accelerating_up with top-traders heavily positioned long (pos ratio 4.60, rising +0.38 on 4h), and DOGE's 30d record long-biased (67% wr, +0.60% avg). 4. PRE-MORTEM: the -0.83% 4h net move + 1h taker 0.82 + fading ADX at 4h RSI 82 flag a stall; a break below the recent 4h base invalidates the continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.093027; stop 0.09055 just below the 4h consolidation base (~2.66% risk, within 1x the ~3.25% typical 24h traversal); stretch TP 0.09610 (+3.3%, R:R ~1.24), a structural push toward retesting the 5d high which sits -5.8% above — reachable within 24h given elevated RV. 6. EXPECTATION: extended + fading momentum caps upside odds; p_tp1 41 / p_sl 37 / p_expire 22.
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