HYPEUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 79.6041 and stopped out at 76.7 after 1.7 hours, closing at -3.65%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Entry | 79.6041 |
| Stop-loss | 76.75 |
| Take-profit 1 | 81.4916 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 82.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.10 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 76.7 |
| Realized P&L | -3.65% |
| Time open | 1.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 29.5 but slope -4.5 (fading), 4h ADX 63 RSI 73.4 (overbought), choppiness 41.4 (trending edge), ER-10 0.22 / ER-30 0.16 (noisy path netting little), Hurst 0.49, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a strong but decelerating bull trend pinned at its 5d/20d/90d high (-3.19%) after a +8.4% day, rolling z +2.30, rv_24h 87th pctile. 2. LEAN CHECK: trend and positioning clearly favor long (EMA stack 4/4, top-trader pos ratio 1.94, OI accelerating_up +17.2% 24h) — but the last 4h net move is -3.19% (pullback off the high) and funding is blisteringly hot (z +9.2, agg z +10.0), so this is a stretched-long lean, not a fresh breakout. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + positioning — full bullish MTF stack plus top-trader position ratio 1.94 and accelerating OI on a +17% 24h build; a shallow -3.2% pullback in an intact uptrend is a dip-buy toward the recent high. 4. PRE-MORTEM: extreme funding (z +9.2/+10.0) + overbought 4h RSI + fading 1h ADX means a long-squeeze flush; loss of the ~76.9 pullback shelf invalidates the dip-buy. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 79.60, stop 76.75 (below the -3.19% pullback shelf and the round-trip of the last 4h leg, ~3.6% risk — within the ~4.7% avg 24h traversal and rv), take_profit_1 83.05 (a ~1.2x-risk stretch back toward and just past the 5d high near 82.2, ~4.3% clamped to within bounds ~82.78) — placing target at 82.75 to respect the 4% clamp and R:R ≈ 1.1. 6. EXPECTATION: hot funding + fading momentum raise squeeze odds, so modest edge; p_tp1 42, p_sl 39, p_expire 19.
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