DOGEUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.093512 and stopped out at 0.09148 after 1.3 hours, closing at -2.17%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 13:24 |
| Entry | 0.093512 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09148 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.094993 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09598 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.21 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09148 |
| Realized P&L | -2.17% |
| Time open | 1.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 with 4h ADX 53.9 (strong) but 1h ADX only 12.5 slope -0.05 (chop-grade, fading), ER-30 0.01 / choppiness 51.9 (near-term path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.39 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.9% — a strong 4h uptrend deeply extended and stalled into chop_high_vol (z +1.94, RV-24h 66th pctile, 4h RSI 70.2 overbought). 2. LEAN CHECK: net-bull structural tape (+2.4%/24h, +2.5%/4h) with full bull EMA stack across all TFs and top-trader position ratio 4.68 firmly long — the long side is favored. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend alignment (full_bullish 4/4 + 4h ADX 53.9) plus top-trader positioning (pos ratio 4.68, account ratio 3.53, both heavily long) supports continuation; this asset has won repeatedly on exactly this extended-bull-that-stalled setup. 4. PRE-MORTEM: overbought 4h RSI 70.2 + Hurst 0.39 mean-reversion + fading OI (accelerating_down, oi_change_recent_half -1.34%, latest taker 0.67 sell-heavy) means a rejection off the 5d high (-5.3% away) could snap this back down. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.093512; stop below near-term structure at 0.09148 (~2.17% risk, near the 1h ATR span of ~1.9%); stretch TP at 0.09598 (~2.64% up, ~1.22x risk, inside clamps) targeting a retest toward the 5d high region. 6. EXPECTATION: extended and choppy near-term caps upside conviction — p_tp1 43, p_sl 37, p_expire 20.
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