AAVEUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 140.74 and stopped out at 135.8 after 1.3 hours, closing at -3.51%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 13:24 |
| Entry | 140.74 |
| Stop-loss | 135.8 |
| Take-profit 1 | 144.076 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 146.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.13 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 135.8 |
| Realized P&L | -3.51% |
| Time open | 1.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 22.8 with positive slope +5.24 (strengthening), 4h ADX 50.7, choppiness 33.4 (trending edge), ER-10 0.69 (clean one-way path), HMM volatile 0.89 — a violent +12.2% 24h bull impulse pinned exactly at the 5d/20d/90d high. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — HTF trend, OI acceleration and top-trader positioning all point up with no coherent short case. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — agg OI +30.2% and Binance OI z +6.4 with oi_momentum accelerating_up, top_trader_pos_ratio 1.49 (positioned long), taker ratio 1.18 latest — fresh money leaning into a trend-aligned breakout to new highs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is extreme across all TFs (5m 88, 1h 79, 4h 81) and z_20d +2.9 / RV pctile 87% — a blow-off exhaustion reversal from overbought is the invalidator, especially with total mcap -5.4% 24h (crypto tape weak underneath). 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 140.74; stop below the local impulse structure at 135.80 (~3.5% risk, within the ~11% 7d daily range and 2.5% 1h ATR context); stretch target 147.10 (~4.5% gross clamped by 4% to ~146.36 effectively) — placing at 146.30 keeps R:R ~1.13 and inside clamp bounds, a reachable new-high extension within 24h given 5.3% typical 24h traversal. 6. EXPECTATION: trend and flow favor continuation but overbought extremes and weak broad tape cap upside.
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