DOGEUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.093591 and stopped out at 0.09195 after 3.1 hours, closing at -1.75%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 21:39 |
| Entry | 0.093591 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09195 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.094856 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0957 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.29 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09195 |
| Realized P&L | -1.75% |
| Time open | 3.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 with 4h ADX 52.8 (strong) but 1h ADX only 11.5 slope +0.22 (chop-grade), ER-10 0.13 / ER-30 0.14 / choppiness 57.5 (path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.39 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.9% — a strong 4h uptrend deeply stalled into chop_high_vol (z +1.77, RV-24h 59th pctile, 4h RSI 69.9 near-overbought). 2. LEAN CHECK: net-bull structural tape — full bull EMA stack across all TFs, top-trader pos ratio 4.78 (heavily long) and 4h delta +0.073 (adding), taker 1.177, +0.83%/4h momentum; the higher-timeframe trend is up so lean long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-alignment cluster (4/4 bull stack + 4h ADX 52.8) plus positioning (top-trader pos ratio 4.78 and rising) both point up; this is the trend-aligned side despite near-term chop. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h ADX 11.5 + choppiness 57.5 + Hurst 0.39 + z +1.77 near-overbought means an extended stall that mean-reverts down — recent same-regime longs lost SL three times in a row, a real warning. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.093591; invalidation below the recent consolidation floor, stop at 0.09195 (~1.75% below, ~0.4x the 4% avg-24h-traversal, sits under near-term structure); stretch TP at 0.09570 (~2.25% up, R:R ~1.29, inside clamps, a reachable structural push toward the 5d high which is only -5.25% away). 6. EXPECTATION: extended stall in mean-reverting chop caps upside conviction; p_tp1 41, p_sl 38, p_expire 21.
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