DOGEUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.09286 and hit its target at 0.093994 after 6.7 hours, closing at +1.22%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 14:54 |
| Entry | 0.09286 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09155 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.093994 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09475 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.44 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.093994 |
| Realized P&L | +1.22% |
| Time open | 6.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 with 4h ADX 54 (strong) but 1h ADX only 12.1 slope -0.25 (chop-grade, fading), ER-30 0.045 / choppiness 52.8 (near-term path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.39 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.9% — a strong 4h uptrend that has stalled into chop_high_vol (z +1.83, RV-24h 69th pctile, 4h RSI 69 near-overbought). 2. LEAN CHECK: net-bull structural tape (+2.98%/24h, +0.50%/4h) with full MTF bull stack and top-trader pos ratio 4.6x long — leans long, but the recent same-regime track record shows three consecutive stop-outs at ~conf 56-58, warning the near-term chop is punishing longs. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — full bull EMA stack across all four TFs plus top-trader long conviction (account ratio 3.6, pos ratio 4.6) and taker 1h 1.11 buy-tilted; OI momentum accelerating_up. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top_trader_pos_ratio_4h_chg -0.133 (long conviction slipping) and agg OI 24h -1.4% plus 1h ADX collapsing means a stall/rollover back into the 20d z-mean would invalidate; a break below the recent 1h consolidation shelf ~0.0918 kills it. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.09286, stop 0.09155 (below consolidation shelf, ~1.4% risk, within 1h atr 2.07% range), take_profit_1 0.09475 stretch toward the 5d high area (-6% is far, so aim inside clamp; ~2.0% ≈ 1.44x risk, R:R ~1.44). 6. EXPECTATION: chop-fading trend with recent long stop-outs tempers p_tp1; give modest edge to trend.
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