ETHUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,438.2 and hit its target at 2,468.7 after 6.3 hours, closing at +1.25%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 14:54 |
| Entry | 2,438.2 |
| Stop-loss | 2,398.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,468.7 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,489 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,468.7 |
| Realized P&L | +1.25% |
| Time open | 6.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h EMA stacks bull_aligned (4h ADX towering 57.5, RSI 68.9), 5m bull/15m mixed so mtf reads "mixed"; ADX_1h 20.5 slope -1.47 (real-but-fading trend), ER-10 0.46 / ER-30 0.04 (noisy long-horizon path that nets nowhere), choppiness 42 mid, Hurst 0.60, HMM calm — a mild bull structure with poor path efficiency near 5d highs. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — HTF EMAs bullish, OI accelerating_up, taker 1.16, top-traders net long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI momentum accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +0.86, agg_oi +0.22%, oi_change_24h +2.1%) paired with 1h taker 1.16 and top_trader_pos_ratio 1.70 confirms buyers pressing into a bull-aligned 4h stack — trend-aligned long. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is only -3.3% from the 5d/20d/90d high with rolling z +1.40 and funding_z +1.65 (crowded long) and top-trader pos ratio slipping (4h chg -0.06) — a rejection at the high would flip momentum down fast. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2438.24; stop 2398.10 below the recent 1h swing/invalidation (~1.65%, within the ~3.75% 24h traversal); stretch TP 2489.00 at the 5d-high retest zone (~2.08%, ~1.26x risk, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: crowded-long extension near highs caps upside conviction, so a meaningful expire weight.
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