DOGEUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.093772 and stopped out at 0.09135 after 2.4 hours, closing at -2.58%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 00:42 |
| Entry | 0.093772 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09135 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.095559 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09675 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09135 |
| Realized P&L | -2.58% |
| Time open | 2.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m mixed, 15m/1h/4h bull_aligned), 4h ADX 57.8 strong but 1h ADX only 17.5 slope -2.9 (fading), ER-10 0.39 / choppiness 53, Hurst 0.41 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 96% — a strong-but-extended 4h uptrend that has stalled near-term (z +2.33, RV-24h 91st pctile, 4h RSI 72.9 and 5m RSI 71.5 both overbought). 2. LEAN CHECK: net-bull structural tape (+2.85%/24h, +2.48%/12h), but near-term momentum negative (-0.52%/4h) with OI accelerating_down and fading 1h ADX — still leans long via trend + top-trader positioning, though thinly. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 15m/1h/4h all bull-stacked, top_trader_pos_ratio 4.89 (heavily long, and rising +0.054 4h) and account ratio 3.72, taker 1.06 buy-tilt; the higher-timeframe trend is intact. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI is accelerating_down (-2.98% recent half, oi_change_24h -4.5%) into an overbought, deeply-extended z+2.33 — if this bull unwinds, the extension unwinds hard and price rolls off the 5d high. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.093772; stop 0.09135 below the recent consolidation shelf (~2.58%, within 1h atr 2.45% and 24h traversal 3.82%); stretch TP 0.09675 at the prior swing / 5d-high retest area (~3.18%, R:R ~1.23, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: extended overbought + fading OI caps upside odds; honest split.
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