SOLUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 96.1852 and stopped out at 93.65 after 3 hours, closing at -2.64%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 00:42 |
| Entry | 96.1852 |
| Stop-loss | 93.65 |
| Take-profit 1 | 98.0541 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 99.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 93.65 |
| Realized P&L | -2.64% |
| Time open | 3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF is full_bullish 4/4 with 4h ADX 57 and clear bull EMA stack, but 1h ADX only 19 and fading (slope -0.77), Hurst ~0.48 neutral — a strong 4h uptrend cooling into an intraday transitional pause. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence favors the long side — full MTF bull alignment plus a positive net 4h/12h/24h move; only intraday overbought RSI and slight OI decline lean against, no clean short thesis. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 4/4 bull EMA stack, top-trader position ratio 2.08 (heavily long), fresh +1.7% 4h push, price just 3.1% under the 5d/20d/90d high with room to extend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: multi-TF overbought (5m/15m/4h RSI all 70-75) plus RV at 99th pctile and OI decelerating — a failure to hold the recent push rolls this back below the intraday EMAs. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent 1h swing/EMA reclaim zone at 93.65 (~2.6% risk, roughly 0.85x the 24h avg traversal of 3.0%); TP stretch at 99.30 (~3.2% reward), R:R ~1.2, an honest reach toward the 5d high inside the 4% clamp. 6. EXPECTATION: trend supports upside but overbought/high-RV caps follow-through, so a balanced distribution with meaningful expire.
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